I agree totally with Chris. GRM's in my opinion are a complete waste of time since they take nothing into account other than gross. Cap rate at least look at a one year operating model. Cap does not however take into account a loan. Cap is really quite misleading if you are trying to analyze how a property is going to perform past 1 year. What cap will do for you is compare one property price relative to the net operating income (NOI) and price of another in the same market area. As caps go up GRM goes down. I have a hard time believing there is anywhere in the country that still commands a 3% cap? That tells you the price is in the stratosphere relative to the income the property produces. You are probably looking at properties owned by sellers that are in denial as to what is happening to prices (down)? What you really need to look at is internal rate of return (IRR) and capital accumulation. IRR will look at the property over as many years as you wish to project, with variable cash flows and expenses, as well as a loan. Cap will not do that and GRM doesn't do anything useable. Look at caps to determine the relative price to the income that various properties are offering. Do an IRR analysis to determine which one performs the best over time with as many variables as you wish to plug in. paulsylvester@remax.net or 800 554-7363 ext. 208
Paul Sylvester, CCIM
Jun 29, 2009